Nate Silver, freakishly accurate number cruncher, updated his forecast for Nov. 6:

And this isĀ beforeĀ the effect of the second debate is taken into account. That huge dip is from the first debate and it’s still creeping back up. What do you think is going to happen when Obama’s vastly superior performance in the second debate is factored in? And the third debate? It’s on foreign policy. Keep in mind, President Obama did something no Democratic president has done in my lifetime: he completely dominated the GOP on national defense and foreign policy. So much so that they have been unable to run on their usual “Grrrr! We’re the tough guys and we’ll protect you!” platform.

My prediction is that, after the Monday (or Tuesday) numbers come in, we’ll see a significant widening of the gap. If Romney does not score a grand slam during Monday’s debate, the panic on the right will be a sight to behold.